DeepLeads
AI forecasting research

Every possible
future, weighed.

DeepLeads builds AI models that simulate what could happen next — then say, precisely, how likely each outcome is.

NOW P(higher than now) = 0.72
Observed 120 simulated futures One of them, traced Where they end up Illustrative
Approach

From noise to a number.

Four steps turn scattered signals into one honest probability.

  1. 01

    Observe

    We gather the signals that move an outcome and line them up in time, so a model only sees what was knowable then.

  2. 02

    Learn

    Deep learning and statistics, trained to forecast and judged only on data they have never seen.

  3. 03

    Simulate

    Thousands of plausible futures for every question, so uncertainty is measured, not guessed.

  4. 04

    Calibrate

    Probabilities are tuned until a 70% forecast comes true about 70% of the time.

Track record

Tested against the best forecasts money can buy.

Prediction markets, sportsbooks and odds makers all put real money behind their numbers. Across more than a million forecasts in 2026, ours have been consistently more accurate than all of them.

Forecasts made in 2026
1,000,000+

Each one logged before the outcome was known, and scored after.

How close each forecast landed
DeepLeads
Most accurate
Prediction markets
Sportsbooks and odds makers
← Further offWhat happenedFurther off →

Picture each forecast as a dot, placed by how far it landed from what actually happened. The tighter the cluster around the line, the more accurate the forecaster.

About us

Built by world-class researchers and Kaggle grandmasters.

DeepLeads is a team of AI researchers. We work on one question — what happens next — and judge our work by a single standard: how it holds up against reality.

We're always glad to hear from exceptional researchers.

Work with us

Tomorrow is uncertain. Let's put a number on it — and profit from being right.

Get in touch